Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 7.738699 8.544867 9.421996 10.451069 11.630212 12.944862 14.529506
2026-01-04 6.725570 7.809031 9.068260 10.653891 12.617078 14.994404 18.132026
2026-01-11 5.909628 7.087329 8.516273 10.402905 12.866786 16.030766 20.494766
2026-01-18 5.520016 6.804302 8.421073 10.645898 13.693183 17.822040 24.024806
2026-01-25 5.052698 6.361311 8.056526 10.466760 13.896812 18.753484 26.445522
2026-02-01 4.684278 6.006612 7.762949 10.333360 14.119431 19.700602 28.988144
2026-02-08 4.360843 5.681424 7.474056 10.165376 14.253422 20.504503 31.395135
2026-02-15 4.067794 5.373520 7.180135 9.954409 14.286296 21.134548 33.583870
2026-02-22 3.856237 5.163096 7.005302 9.897984 14.540814 22.132251 36.551161
2026-03-01 3.589727 4.856225 6.667401 9.561109 14.307189 22.278523 37.966273
2026-03-08 3.313201 4.518912 6.262932 9.088189 13.803405 21.897572 38.300198
2026-03-15 3.141175 4.325483 6.061656 8.920634 13.792236 22.377465 40.408236
2026-03-22 3.202756 4.487702 6.418104 9.694478 15.498209 26.249219 50.450933
2026-03-29 3.119710 4.425099 6.420427 9.880920 16.185523 28.301896 57.047571
2026-04-05 2.954271 4.225508 6.191778 9.653062 16.083819 28.767697 60.018339
2026-04-12 2.894976 4.188069 6.220854 9.873586 16.847850 31.117342 68.239853
2026-04-19 2.764473 4.030490 6.042982 9.711028 16.849224 31.837515 72.389455
2026-04-26 2.651531 3.895440 5.894568 9.589925 16.919330 32.716776 77.212660
2026-05-03 2.540826 3.758725 5.735656 9.437363 16.909196 33.410603 81.694138
2026-05-10 2.430648 3.617949 5.562423 9.245664 16.798842 33.854357 85.550794
2026-05-17 2.351722 3.525274 5.466967 9.194374 16.980225 35.025871 92.077133
2026-05-24 2.235116 3.365060 5.246417 8.887985 16.582351 34.710856 93.584928
2026-05-31 2.104626 3.177099 4.969726 8.457362 15.879253 33.545975 91.901146